The first package exceeded the cap
A 24.09 MB candidate failed closed instead of becoming selectable, forcing the run toward a smaller model.
Run postmortem · Published 2026-08-28
It reached 96% public calibration, finalized a 92% package, and still scored only 4% hidden.
One-hour track · max reasoning · provisional
Hy4 Preview produced a valid 4% hidden exact-match result in its first published max-effort run. The agent built a hybrid byte predictor, raised official public calibration from 52% to 96%, then replaced that package with a fine-tuned 92% candidate near the deadline. Independent grading reproduced 4% from the exact finalized artifact, so the 88-point public-to-hidden gap reflects severe selection and generalization failure rather than the Ox Alpha package-path defect. One seed remains provisional.
One valid autonomous run produced a provisional 4% hidden exact-match score.
1 of 3 required seeds · Hidden exact-match accuracy, not public calibration accuracy.
The final artifact combined a nine-layer byte transformer with a large deterministic inference layer and repeated package-level calibration checks.
The run trained and fine-tuned progressively larger byte transformers, ending with a nine-layer, 256-wide neural fallback.
Inference logic handled copying, arithmetic, records, sequences, schedules, mappings, sorting, and text transformations before blending in the neural model.
An oversized first build was rejected safely, while later candidates were packaged, scored, promoted, and independently checked under the 16 MB cap.
A 24.09 MB candidate failed closed instead of becoming selectable, forcing the run toward a smaller model.
The compact hybrid moved from 52% to 92% and then 96% on the official public set, while synthetic holdouts reinforced the same narrow direction.
Hy4 replaced the preserved 96% package with a 92% fine-tuned candidate, finalized it, reached the controller deadline, and received a valid 4% hidden grade.
The selected package passed size and inference checks, matched its recorded code and weights, and reproduced 4% in an independent Docker re-grade.
Twenty-three of twenty-five public questions were correct, but only four of one hundred hidden questions matched exactly.
Two more valid seeds are needed, and the equal 4% score does not establish that Hy4 Preview, GLM-5.3 Flash, and the former Ox Alpha endpoint are identical models.
Every archived run selected for this exact model-and-effort row is shown below. The narrative uses aggregate run evidence and final artifact structure; it does not expose hidden questions, answers, or raw private transcripts.
Swipe horizontally to see all run columns.
| Run | Score | Time | Cost at run | Artifact | Candidates | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| run-0105 | 4% | 66:48 | $0.46 | 13.57 MB | 10 | Valid |
Autonomous runs are stochastic. Two more valid seeds are required before this can be treated as an official estimate.
The agent made 10 candidate submission actions across the published run set. Selected artifacts averaged 13.57 MB compressed.
The runs averaged 66:48 of wall time. Runtime alone cannot show whether more time would have improved the result.
Retained totals: 140 agent messages · 10 candidate actions · 1 published run.
$0.46 per displayed run at current configured rates.
The official run cost an estimated $0.4551 at its launch pricing, excluding preflight smoke requests. That is inexpensive in absolute terms, but the 4% hidden result and one-seed status make the displayed value ratio provisional.
At current configured API-equivalent rates, the displayed run cost is $0.46 and value is 8.79 score points per dollar.
Current configured API-equivalent cost / run · pricing snapshot 2026-08-28.
Adjacent rows provide score context without treating small one-seed differences as settled model rankings.
Compare Hy4 Preview with the complete ARI Bench field, including score, current cost, value per dollar, effort, and seed status.
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